Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.004153 0.004661 0.005232 0.005929 0.006763 0.007739 0.008982
2026-01-11 0.003418 0.004056 0.004835 0.005875 0.007259 0.009084 0.011755
2026-01-18 0.003009 0.003706 0.004605 0.005887 0.007731 0.010400 0.014797
2026-01-25 0.002675 0.003382 0.004333 0.005755 0.007929 0.011325 0.017517
2026-02-01 0.002386 0.003077 0.004034 0.005519 0.007900 0.011857 0.019727
2026-02-08 0.002154 0.002822 0.003768 0.005284 0.007814 0.012252 0.021805
2026-02-15 0.002038 0.002717 0.003707 0.005349 0.008223 0.013604 0.026416
2026-02-22 0.001900 0.002567 0.003559 0.005248 0.008319 0.014380 0.030098
2026-03-01 0.001770 0.002417 0.003396 0.005102 0.008303 0.014921 0.033471
2026-03-08 0.001664 0.002295 0.003265 0.004993 0.008336 0.015570 0.037549
2026-03-15 0.001618 0.002261 0.003273 0.005127 0.008867 0.017506 0.047098
2026-03-22 0.001583 0.002242 0.003301 0.005300 0.009513 0.019946 0.060968
2026-03-29 0.001520 0.002179 0.003258 0.005351 0.009951 0.022146 0.077596
2026-04-05 0.001446 0.002094 0.003171 0.005310 0.010179 0.023892 0.095500
2026-04-12 0.001387 0.002029 0.003114 0.005320 0.010534 0.026217 0.122618
2026-04-19 0.001316 0.001938 0.003004 0.005206 0.010556 0.027466 0.146123
2026-04-26 0.001238 0.001832 0.002857 0.005000 0.010304 0.027647 0.161710
2026-05-03 0.001166 0.001733 0.002718 0.004795 0.010021 0.027629 0.176444
2026-05-10 0.001135 0.001701 0.002699 0.004852 0.010464 0.030732 0.244796
2026-05-17 0.001088 0.001639 0.002620 0.004764 0.010484 0.032096 0.300159
2026-05-24 0.001039 0.001572 0.002527 0.004637 0.010366 0.032814 0.352608
2026-05-31 0.000997 0.001516 0.002451 0.004541 0.010329 0.033931 0.430598
2026-06-07 0.000982 0.001506 0.002466 0.004658 0.010972 0.038972 0.739283